No Santa Claus Rally This December?

No Santa Claus  Rally This December?

...well, maybe not for everybody, and definitely not for the Oil or Energy Companies. Retail on the other hand, and despite recent concerns about retail weakness that were proven unfounded after the Retail Sales Report on Friday, seems to be performing on par with expectations. Lower gas prices are bound to turn up consumer spending eventually.

The U.S. Census Bureau estimates U.S. retail and food services sales, for the month of November came to $448.1 billion, an increase of 0.2% from the previous month. This is just slightly below the Bloomberg consensus estimate of 0.3% for November. Total sales for the September through November 2015 period were up 1.7% from the same period in the previous year. Retail sales less autos totaled 0.4%, which exceeded the consensus estimate of 0.3%.  Retail sales less autos and gasoline totaled 0.5%, above the consensus of 0.3% and the month of October at 0.3%.

So is there a recession looming? If you look at the "Time between Recessions" historical data, the answer seems unclear. There does not seem to be a clear technical trend we could rely on. Looking at the economical indicators mainly in the US and disregarding the economical and political turmoil in the rest of the world (to the degree we can afford to) combined with the upheaval caused by the currently developing fear of new terrorism and a wild presidential election campaign stirring up fear, we feel confident to close out the year on a positive note. Acting on fear or emotions instead on reliable research never works. Cooler and smarter heads will prevail; lets see what presents 2016 is going to bring  us.

Mad Money's Cramer says: ""I don't want to be that negative. Why not? Because if the Fed gives the right statement, then this market most likely will behave like a coiled spring, and there will be tremendous regret if you decide to dump the winners in advance of a benign admonition come Wednesday afternoon".

Time between Recessions


Please visit our sites and
We would appreciate if you could pass our newsletter on to your friends and
colleagues, we always appreciate your feedback and comments.
About SWI
SWI is a leading edge PR, Information Marketing and Research firm with a highly frequented web site, its "Rise Above The Noise" newsletter and SWI Research site These services provide readers with information and research on new, often undiscovered and promising public companies. The QuickPicks section on the SWI site represents the consolidated opinions of carefully selected financial analyst reports and opinions from credible Wall Street firms that we respect and frequently sample. Our weekly SWI QuickPicks  Ratings Report keeps you informed about newly SWI initiated stocks and potential upgrades and downgrades in the QuickPicks section. We are not being compensated by these companies and do not necessarily hold positions in any of these stocks.  You can conveniently follow the live links for each of these stocks on for more detail.  SWI's  "Portfolio Performance Report" periodically reports about the performance of the stocks that we have purchased in our portfolio. typically hold and may be trading.  Please do not miss the wealth of frequently updated news, research reports and other valuable information elsewhere on SWI, especially for the stocks on our WatchIndex page. Watch a full range of CEO and analyst interviews on our Strategic Partner site  
Google +
Good luck and please pass this newsletter on to a friend
to continue building our community.

StockWatchIndex (SWI) is not a registered investment adviser and makes no warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness or fitness for a purpose (investment or otherwise) of the information provided in the publications for its Stock Watch List or on its web sites. The provided information is not to be construed as personal financial advice, or a solicitation to buy or sell stock. Some information has been generated by what SWI deems to be reliable third party entities, but SWI does not guarantee the accuracy, timeliness, completeness or correct sequencing of the information, or  warrants any results from use of the information. We have contracted with some of the companies we present on SWI or in the SWI Newsletter as public relations consultants to keep the market and especially our subscribers informed about the companies and may have been compensated in cash and/or stock and stock options, which may be considered a potential conflict of interest. Readers are encouraged to consult their personal financial adviser before making any decisions to buy, sell or hold any securities mentioned herein. StockWatchIndex is not responsible for any error, mistake or shortcoming that may be occasioned at the time of publishing of the information in its Stock Watch List or in any of its other publications. No liability is accepted by StockWatchIndex whatsoever for any direct, indirect or consequential loss arising from the use of the information. StockWatchIndex expressly disclaims any fiduciary responsibility or liability for any consequences, financial or otherwise arising from any reliance placed on the information provided. The included information is subject to change without notice.

Copyright © 2015 DynamicMarketConcepts, All rights reserved.

unsubscribe from this list    update subscription preferences 

Email Marketing Powered by Mailchimp