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Q-Poll: Cuomo 51, Astorino 31

Gov. Andrew Cuomo leads his Republican opponent Rob Astorino by 20 percentage points, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released on Wednesday morning.

The poll found Cuomo receives the support of 51 percent of voters polled compared to Astorino’s 31 percent. Howie Hawkins, the Green Party candidate, received 9 percent.

Without Hawkins in the race, Cuomo leads 55 percent to 34 percent.

Cuomo’s lead in the August Quinnipiac poll was wider, when the governor led Astornio 56 percent to 28 percent. Hawkins was not included in that poll.

Quinnipiac’s news release on the poll points to Cuomo’s 32-percentage point lead among women voters.

“New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo got a head start on the Quinnipiac University poll with his weekend campaign bus ride touting women’s issues. A monster lead among women voters powers him past Westchester County Executive Rob Astorino,” said Quinnipiac’s Mickey Carroll. “It ain’t over ‘til it’s over, but more than two-thirds of voters say their minds are made up.”

Indeed, Cuomo has a large advantage with women as he promotes his support for the passage of the full women’s agenda. But the last time Quinnipiac polled the race for governor in August, Cuomo had an even larger lead among women, with a 38 percentage-point difference separating him and Astorino.

Nevertheless, Astorino has some work to do not just with women, but in the overall favorability department.

Cuomo’s favorable rating is at 50 percent, with 39 percent of voters holding an unfavorable opinion of him.

Astorino, meanwhile, is underwater: 27 percent hold a favorable view of him, while 29 percent do not. Forty-three percent of voters don’t know enough about him to form an opinion, the poll found.

Cuomo continues to hold a wide fundraising advantage over Astorino, and the state Democratic Committee has been used a surrogate to blast the Republican nominee in a series of negative ads on television.

In the race for attorney general, Democratic incumbent Eric Schneidermans leads Republican John Cahill 46 percent to 34 percent.

And in the comptroller’s race, Tom DiNapoli, the Democratic officeholder, leads his Republican challenger 56 percent to 28 percent.

The poll of 1,153 likely voters was conducted from Oct. 1 through Oct. 6. It has a margin of error of 2.9 percentage points.

View the cross tabs here. 

Eldridge Campaign Releases Pair Of Ads 

The campaign of Democratic congressional hopeful Sean Eldridge will begin airing a pair of new TV ads on Wednesday criticizing incumbent Republican Chris Gibson for accepting corporate donations. 

The ads -- which highlight Gibson's support from organizations like the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and the spending on his behalf by the National Republican Congressional Committee --  link his support for issues like hydrofracking to the contributions.

Both ads serve to spotlight Eldridge's opposition to hydrofracking, the controversial natural gas extraction process that remains under review on the state level by the Department of Health. 

“Congressman Gibson has consistently put the interests of his corporate donors ahead of our environment and families in our region, whether it's his support of fracking, which could pollute our drinking water, or his signing the Koch Brothers' climate pledge to take no action on climate change,” Eldridge said in a statement. “I oppose fracking, and I'll be an independent advocate to protect our environment and reduce the influence of corporate money in Washington.”

View the two ads here and here

Gibson's campaign has pushed back on similar Eldridge attacks in recent weeks, noting the Democratic candidate and his husband, Chris Hughes, have investments in oil and gas companies. 

The Gibson campaign, too, has noted the irony of Eldridge's criticism of campaign contributions when he has raised heavily from wealthy donors, especially in New York City. 

But the ads also represent a turn to Eldridge's activism on campaign finance reform. 

Eldridge is a proponent of the public financing of political campaigns, helping fund efforts on the state level in the past year to create a public matching system. 

A TWC News/Siena College poll last month showed Gibson leading Eldridge by 24 percentage points.

Debate in State AG's Race Set for Oct. 30

Time Warner Cable News and NY1 are pleased to announce that Democrat Eric Schneiderman and Republican John Cahill have agreed to a live, televised statewide debate in front of a live audience at Hilbert College in Hamburg, just outside Buffalo, on Thursday, Oct. 30th.

The hour-long debate will be moderated by Capital Tonight anchor Liz Benjamin, who will be joined by panelists Errol Louis of NY1, Bob McCarthy of the Buffalo News and Laura Nahmias of Capital New York.

The debate will be seen live across the state on Time Warner Cable News, NY1 and with Spanish translation on NY1 Noticias at 7pm. This debate will be open to the public. Ticketing information will be available next week.

Happening Today

Gov. Andrew Cuomo is in Albany.

At 8:30 a.m., the NFL owners meet, among other things, they’re expected to approve the sale of the Buffalo Bills to Terry and Kim Pegula, Conrad Hotel, 102 North End Ave., Battery Park City, Manhattan.

At 8:45 a.m., the AARP holds a roundtable breakfast with Monroe County community leaders to discuss Boomer Flight and impact of the 50+ on the local economy, George Eastman House, Curtis Theatre, 900 East Ave., Rochester.

At 9:30 a.m., Chemung County Sheriff and GOP LG candidate Chris Moss appears live “Binghamton Now with Bob Joseph” on WNBF 1290 AM.

Also at 9:30 a.m., the Business Council of Westchester and Assemblywoman Shelley Mayer, along with business leaders and elected officials, express their concerns with any plans to open casinos too close to facilities that already exist, Empire City Casino, 810 Yonkers Ave., Yonkers.

At 10 a.m., NYC Public Advocate Letitia James will be joined by Legal Aid and housing advocates to launch the 2014 Worst Landlords Watchlist, City Hall steps, Manhattan.

Also at 10 a.m., LG Bob Duffy makes an announcement, Buffalo Niagara Medical Campus
Goodrich & Ellicott streets, Buffalo.

Also at 10 a.m., NYC Council Speaker Melissa Mark-Viverito delivers the opening statement at a joint Fire and Criminal Justice and Juvenile Justice committees hearing on the treatment of adolescents in New York City jails, Council chambers, City Hall, Manhattan.

At 11 a.m., Cuomo makes a campaign announcement, Plug Power, 968 Albany Shaker Rd., Albany.

Also at 11 a.m., NYC Mayor Bill de Blasio makes remarks at the FDNY’s 107th annual memorial service, Firefighter’s Monument, 100th Street and Riverside Drive, Manhattan.

Also at 11 a.m., AG Eric Schneiderman and Pennsylvania AG Kathleen Kane will make a public safety announcement, Schneiderman’s NYC office, 120 Broadway, 25th Floor, Manhattan.

Also at 11 a.m., Bronx Democratic leaders endorse state Comptroller Tom DiNapoli’s re-election bid, 1640 Eastchester Rd., the Bronx.

Also at 11 a.m., EPL/Environmental Advocates announce the 2014 legislative “Oil Slick” award winner and release their annual legislative scorecard, LCA Pressroom 120, Legislative Office Building, Albany.

At 11:30 a.m., Citizens Union holds a teleconference on a report examining the election results following the 2012 redistricting process and revealing how state legislators once again rigged the system to maximize their hold on power in each house.

At noon, Zephyr Teachout and Tim Wu join Democratic state Senate candidate James Kemmerer (challenging GOP Sen. Marty Golden) to lay out plans for campaign finance and ethics reform, in front of Golden’s family catering hall, 76th Street, just west of 5th Avenue, Bay Ridge, Brooklyn.

Ar 12:30 p.m., DC 37′s Lillian Roberts announce’s the union’s endorsement of former NYC Councilman Domenic Recchia’s NY-11 campaign, 125 Barclay St., Manhattan.

At 3 p.m., state Senate candidate George Amedore will accept the endorsement of several business groups and outline initiatives to help improve the state’s economic climate, Duckpond Farms, 4448 Western Turnpike, Altamont.

At 5 p.m., Moss participates in Fire Prevention Week activities at the West Elmira Fire Department, 1299 West Water St., Elmira.

At 6:45 p.m., de Blasio headlines a campaign kick-off/Justice for Workers rally “to call for hundreds of activists to organize to take back the state Senate and win a big vote on the Working Families Party ballot line,” Vartan Cathedral, 630 2nd Ave., Manhattan.

At 7 p.m., Hawkins delivers remarks about student debt, Siena College, 515 Loudon Rd., Albany.

On CapTon Last Night:

If you refer to the latest polls, it’s shaping up to be a good election year for state Senate Republicans. Poll numbers show most GOP candidates with a lead over their Democratic challengers. But, if you ask Democrats, they’ll tell you they’re not too worried and that the polls are inaccurate. This week’s Insiders sat down to weigh in on this and much more.

The Senate Democrats effort to win back the majority had hit some roadblocks. A lot of them, in fact. Recent Siena polls show their candidates trailing behind Republicans in two open seats, and three of their upstate incumbents in trouble as well. So what is the party’s plan? cChair of the Democratic Senate Campaign Committee, Senator Mike Gianaris, joined us to discuss.

Low-wage workers and elected officials gathered in Albany and Rochester on Tuesday to continue the fight for a higher minimum wage. It’s a big issue for female voters specifically, because more women hold low-wage jobs than men. And getting women votes is certainly a top priority for many candidates this election year. Saru Jayaraman, co-director of the Restaurant Opportunities Centers United, Jess Wisneski, legislative and campaigns director for Citizen Action of New York, and Terry O’Neill, president of National Organization for Women, joined us to explain.

Since Buffalo-area State Senator Mark Grisanti lost the Republican primary last month, the race for his seat has been closely watched, especially by his Senate colleagues. The outcome of this fight could very well determine who controls the chamber come January. One man hoping to shift that balance into Democratic hands is attorney Marc Panepinto, who will be running on Row A. Panepinto joined us to talk more about the tough race.

Coming Up On CapTon:

Green Party candidate Howie Hawkins joins us to upstate us on his race for governor. 


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